My HorseRaces trademark My HorseRaces®

Past Performance of My HorseRaces


PERFORMANCE FROM HISTORICAL DATA BASES

Results (option/parameter settings used, betting, return on turnover and bet to payout ratio) are shown here from historical data bases built up by My HorseRaces' developer in 2014/15, 2012, 2009, 2008 (city), 2008 (country), 2005, 2004 and 2000. These results may help you with option selection and setting of parameter values in your own analyses.

The results reflect the options available in My HorseRaces package at the time the particular data base was being built up.

if you would like to receive by e-mail summary printouts of any of the results for particular race classes.

General comment on returns from data bases

A common aim is to identify the analytical approach that puts the probabilities in the punter's favour. The returns from the historical data bases presented here underline the importance of taking different approaches with different classes of race and under different racing conditions. The playing out of probabilities in practice means that large differences in outcomes for the same class of race are expected even between horse races restricted to the same metropolitan racecourses (2014/15, 2012, 2009, 2008 (city), 2005, 2004 and 2000) because of the limited number of races in each data base.

As a general proposition, past performance may not be an indication of future performance but that is particularly so when the past performance is measured over a limited period covering a small number of races.

The return over a year for a particular class of race may, for example, be very high. In the following year the return could be low or even negative despite the application of the same analytical approach. Net profits over a number of years, however, might suggest that the associated analytical approach truly puts the odds in the punter's favour.

Other points relevant to the returns for 2014/15, 2012, 2009, 2008 (city), 2008 (country), 2005, 2004 and 2000 are:

  1. your own choices are critical to performance;
  2. returns reflect the same options applied to each race in the analysis of each selected group of races;
  3. when analysing each race separately, specific options, horse exclusions, past race exclusions, etc can be more tightly targeted;
  4. when betting on course, odds can be accepted as they change during pre-race betting (in contrast to the TAB payouts and SP odds underlying the returns shown here);
  5. place odds computed from SP win odds (1/4 of win odds for races with 8 or more runners), as they are in My HorseRaces, may not be offered on course;
  6. overall positive returns may result from cash flow profiles that are characterised by sometimes lengthy periods of losses and large sporadic offsetting wins; and
  7. higher overall return on turnover may be arise from analysis options that result in reduced number of bets or increased 'lumpiness' of wins.

With either standard multiple race analysis or optimisation, the full professional version of My HorseRaces allows you to analyse all the races in a data base or to restrict the analysis to particular races, as required, on the basis of class, distance, date, number of runners, track condition, racecourse and geographical 'state'. With standard multiple race analysis, you may choose to have the same set of options/parameters apply to all races selected or have different options apply to each race in the selected set. The initial options/parameters and the options/parameters being varied under optimisation must apply, however, to all races selected.

Following tables show the results of applying My HorseRaces' optimisation facility to data bases for 2014/15,2009, 2008 (city), 2008 (country), 2005, 2004 and 2000. The table relating to 2012 races draws on prior-year optimised results to set analysis options up front for different groups of races - to simulate betting for profit as opposed to optimising performance outcomes after the event. In all the following tables:

2014/15 horse races

This data base contains 1487 races held in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane (including selected Sunshine Coast, Gold Coast and Ipswich meetings) on most weekends from 1 February to 25 July 2015. 1163 of the races were run on dry tracks and 324 on wet tracks ('slow'/'soft' or 'heavy'). The data base is included with My HorseRaces but with all races deleted ready for Australian metropolitan races to be added.

The pre-race data were uploaded electronically by My HorseRaces from race files (restricting races to those on specified Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane tracks) downloaded by the developer from the website of Racing Australia (RA). For the first two Saturdays, racing files containing form over the past two years were used and subsequently racing files containing each horse’s last five starts. Race results, SP odds, TAB payouts and race-day changes to jockeys, weight carried, etc were typed in by the developer.

Of the 1163 races on dry tracks:

182 are distance races (> 1900m); and
981 are sprint races (< 2000m).

Of the 981 sprint races on dry tracks:

129 are 2yo races;
207 are 3yo races, including those 3yo races classed on the basis of ratings based handicapping (RBH or Benchmark races) rather than say on the number of metropolitan wins;
59 are C6 races - broadly, for horses with corresponding number of wins;
75 are fillies/mares open group and listed races;
46 are for horses 3yo or 4yo and above with no restrictions on number of metropolitan wins, as well as those with 0, 1 or 2 metropolitan wins;
223 are non-3yo ratings based handicapping (RBH or 'Benchmark') class races - ranging from RB67 (or BM70) races to RB95 (or BM95) races - including 43 restricted to fillies/mares; and
242 are open listed and open quality races, as well as welters - open to all horses in transition to open listed races.

The 324 races on wet tracks comprise races across all these categories of races on dry tracks.

The analysis options for each group of races in the table were chosen from prior year settings plus some use of My HorseRaces optimisation facility.

Betting for places (on the TAB) was applied only when betting for wins (on the TAB) did not prove profitable.

Returns from selected 2014/15 races
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
Wet tracks
excluding 83 3yo
and 60 distance races
Form > 3 months out
Analysis favourite
Win on TAB18.932/184
324 races
Distance races
(more than 1900m)
Form > 11 mnths outLimit wts ignored
No barrier adjustment
Analysis favourite
Place on TAB9.063/162
182 races
2yo sprintSpeed only analysis (fastest horse)
Speed ratings weight adjusted
No barrier adjustment
Analysis favourite
Place on TAB-0.825/43
129 races
3yo sprintForm > 6 months out
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Limit wts ignored
No age improvement
Analysis favourite
Win on TAB34.438/204
207 races
C6 sprintForm > 3 mnths out
3 loading on 'speed' horses
Limit wts ignored
No declining or anomalous adj
Analysis favourite
Win on TAB7.87/56
59 races
F & M sprint
No other
restrictions
Form > 6 mnths out
2 loading on 'speed' horses
Limit wts ignored
Analysis favourite
Place on TAB24.728/71
75 races
3yo+ & 4yo+
sprint
No restrictions
or 0, 1, 2 metro wins
Form > 6 months out
3 loading on 'speed' horses
Limit wts ignored
Distance races out
Win on TAB125.9 (e)9/106
46 races
RBH races
sprint
Form > 12 mnths out
4 loading on 'speed' horses
No declining rating adjust
Analysis favourite
Win on TAB16.9 (e)29/226
223 races
Open and welter
sprint
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Win on TAB1.050/702
242 races

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.
  2. Class weights for RBH races have been re-optimised (given continuing increase in percentage of races classed as RBH races) and expanded to include races previously classed as 3yo races (specifically 3yo races from RBH-70 to RBH-80).
  3. RBH races include those 3yo races or races restricted to fillies and mares that have other associated restrictions, like number of metropolitan wins, replaced by an RBH rating.
  4. All options include default reduced class weights for races restricted to fillies/mares (other than for quality and open listed F&M races which have their own class weights): 0kg reduction for 2yo races; 2kg reduction for 3yo races; and 3kg reduction for non-2yo/3yo races, including RBH races.
  5. Payouts for a small number of races represent a high percentage of total payouts which means analysis settings may be more attuned to securing those few very high payouts than ongoing payouts.

2012 horse races

This data base contains 1206 races held in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane (including selected Sunshine Coast, Gold Coast and Ipswich meetings) on each weekend from 3 December 2011 to 1 December 2012 (as well as the occasional Monday meeting). 917 of the races were run on dry tracks and 289 on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy').

The pre-race data were uploaded electronically by My HorseRaces from race files (restricting races to those on specified Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane tracks) downloaded by the developer from the website of Racing Australia (RA). For the first two Saturdays, racing files containing form over the past two years were used and subsequently racing files containing each horse’s last five starts. Race results, SP odds, TAB payouts and race-day changes to jockeys, weight carried, etc were typed in by the developer.

Of the 917 races on dry tracks:

139 are distance races (> 1900m); and
778 are sprint races (< 2000m).

Of the 778 sprint races on dry tracks:

94 are 2yo races;
167 are 3yo races, including 48 classed on the basis of ratings based handicapping (RBH or Benchmark races) rather than say on the number of metropolitan wins;
51 are C6 races - broadly, for horses with corresponding number of wins;
53 are fillies/mares open group and listed races;
111 are for horses 3yo or 4yo and above with no restrictions on number of metropolitan wins, as well as those with 0, 1 or 2 metropolitan wins;
186 are non-3yo ratings based handicapping (RBH or 'Benchmark') class races - ranging from RB67 (or BM70) races to RB95 (or BM95) races - including 59 restricted to fillies/mares; and
116 are welters - open to all horses in transition to open sprint and open quality races - plus open sprint and open quality races.

The 289 races on wet tracks comprise races across all these categories of races on dry tracks.

The analysis options for each group of races in the table were chosen from options determined using My HorseRaces optimisation facility on prior-year data bases.

Returns from selected 2012 races
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
All
(dry and wet)
Form > 6 months outPlace on SP odds2.4
(-9.9 on TAB)
859/3433
1206 races
AllMarket favouritePlace on SP odds-5.6
(-8.5 on TAB)
590/1274
1206 races
All wet tracks
(slow and heavy)
Form > 6 months outWin on TAB5.578/744
289 races
Wet tracks
excluding 3yo
and distance races
Form > 6 months outWin on TAB19.561/498
201 races
Distance races
(more than 1900m)
Default optionsPlace on SP odds24.0
(0.1 on TAB)
87/416
139 races
2yo sprintSpeed only analysis
1 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Place on SP odds32.9
(20.0 on TAB)
18/36
94 races
(71 with insufficient form
for selections)
3yo non-RBH
sprint
2 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Form > 6 months out
Win on TAB57.540/347
119 races
3yo RBH
sprint
4 loading on 'speed' horses
No jockey adjustment
Form > 12 months out
Place on SP odds12.9
(-4.0 on TAB)
31/106
48 races
C6 sprint4 loading on 'speed' horsesWin on TAB6.412/124
51 races
F & M sprint
No other
restrictions
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Flexible jockey disadvantage
Place on SP odds29.6
(12.2 on TAB)
46/138
53 races
3yo+ & 4yo+
sprint
No restrictions
or 0, 1, 2 metro wins
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Form > 12 months out
Place on SP odds13.2
(-14.4 on TAB)
72/274
111 races
RBH races
sprint
excluding 3yo,
fillies/mares races
1 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Form > 6 months out
Place on SP odds10.4
(-1.1 on TAB)
74/396
127 races
RBH races
sprint
for fillies/mares
1 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Form > 12 months out
Win on SP odds1.916/153
59 races
Open and welter
sprint
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Flexible jockey disadvantage
Place on SP odds26.4
(6.1 on TAB)
81/350
116 races

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.
  2. Class weights for RBH races have been re-optimised (given large increases in numbers of RBH races).
  3. RBH races include some 3yo races or races restricted to fillies and mares, with other associated restrictions, like number of metropolitan wins, replaced by an RBH rating.
  4. All options include default reduced class weights for races restricted to fillies/mares (other than for quality and open listed F&M races which have their own class weights): 0kg reduction for 2yo races; 2kg reduction for 3yo races; and 3kg reduction for non-2yo/3yo races, including RBH races.

2009 horse races

This data base contains 467 races held in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane (including Sunshine and Gold Coast courses) on each weekend between 3 January and 2 May 2009 (as well as on Monday 26 January 2009). 418 of the races were run on dry tracks and 49 on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy').

The pre-race data were uploaded electronically by My HorseRaces from race files (New Form files but restricting races to those on Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane tracks) downloaded by the developer from the website of Racing Australia (RA). Race results, SP odds, TAB payouts and race-day changes to jockeys, weight carried, etc were typed in by the developer.

Of the 467 races:

60 are distance races (> 1900m), 8 of which are on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'); and
407 are sprint races (< 2000m), 41 of which are on wet tracks.

Of the 407 sprint races:

66 are 2yo races (7 on wet tracks);
84 are 3yo races (9 on wet tracks);
38 are fillies/mares open group and listed races (3 on wet tracks);
34 are C6 races (7 on wet tracks) - broadly, for horses with corresponding number of wins;
54 are for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above and restricted to those with 0, 1 or 2 metropolitan wins (5 on wet tracks) - 22 of these are restricted to those with 0 metropolitan wins;
45 are races for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above with no restrictions on number of metropolitan wins (2 on wet tracks);
9 are welters (1 on a wet track) - open to all horses in transition to open sprint and open quality races; and
45 are open sprint and open quality races (5 on wet tracks).
32 are ratings based handicapping (RBH) class races (17 on wet tracks) - comprising 4 RB72-RB78 races, 20 RB80-RB89 races and 8 RB91-RB95 races.

Returns from selected 2009 races
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
All4kg loading on 'speed' horses
Weight adjusted speed ratings
No BP adjustments
Distance form out (sprint races)
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB7.4109/1167
467 races
AllMarket favouriteWin on TAB
(mkt-based bets)
-4.8151/489
467 races
All
(wet tracks)
Declining ratings outWin on TAB43.312/134
49 races
Distance races
(More than 1900m)
Declining ratings outWin on TAB73.418/182
60 races
2yo sprint4 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Place on SP odds48.751/148
66 races
3yo sprint4 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
No BP adjustment
Win on TAB48.722/197
84 races
C6 sprint4 loading on 'speed' horses
Declining ratings out
Place on SP odds5.122/66
34 races
Fillies & mares
(sprint)
4 loading on 'speed' horses
No BP adjustment
Distance form out
Win on TAB39.012/102
38 races
3yo+ & 4yo+
(sprint)
No restrictions
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
No BP adjustments
No jockey adjustments
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB55.710/119
45 races
3yo+ & 4yo+
(sprint)
1 or 2 metro wins
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Distance form out
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB26.28/84
32 races
3yo+ & 4yo+
(sprint)
0 metro wins
2 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
No BP adjustments
No jockey adjustments
Distance form out
Place on SP odds-9.512/59
22 races
Open sprintSpeed horse with top wt rating
1 loading on 'speed' horses
Declining ratings out
Place on SP odds9.67/13
45 races
(42 with no selections)
RBH races3 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Distance form out
Win on TAB13.78/89
32 races

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.
  2. Class weights have been re-optimised with some previous groups of RBH classes disaggregated.
  3. All options include default reduced class weights for races restricted to fillies/mares (other than for quality and open listed F&M races which have their own class weights): 0kg reduction for 2yo races; 2kg reduction for 3yo races; and 3kg reduction for non-2yo/3yo races, including RBH races.

2008 city horse races

This data base contains 418 Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane races from 2008, 323 on dry tracks and 95 on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy').

The pre-race data were uploaded electronically by My HorseRaces from race files (New Form files but restricting races to those on Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane tracks) arbitrarily selected and downloaded by the developer from the website of Racing Australia (RA). Race results, SP odds, TAB payouts and race-day changes to jockeys, weight carried, etc were typed in by the developer.

Of the 418 races:

73 are distance races (> 1900m), 16 of which are on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'); and
345 are sprint races (< 2000m), 79 of which are on wet tracks.

Of the 345 sprint races:

43 are 2yo races (7 on wet tracks);
52 are 3yo races (14 on wet tracks);
27 are fillies/mares open group and listed races (9 on wet tracks);
20 are C6 races (4 on wet tracks) - broadly, for horses with corresponding number of wins;
23 are for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above and restricted to those with 0, 1 or 2 metropolitan wins (7 on wet tracks);
55 are races for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above and with no other restrictions (10 on wet tracks);
11 are welters (2 on wet tracks) - open to all horses in transition to open sprint and open quality races; and
35 are open sprint and open quality races (9 on wet tracks).
79 are ratings based handicapping (RBH) class races (17 on wet tracks) - comprising 11 RB72-RB79 races, 56 RB81-RB89 races and 12 RB91 races.

Returns from selected 2008 city races
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
All0.5kg loading on 'speed' horses
Weight adjusted speed ratings
Place on SP odds0.0299/1188
418 races
All0.5kg loading on 'speed' horses
Weight adjusted speed ratings
Win on TAB-2.7106/1188
418 races
AllMarket favouriteWin on TAB
(mkt-based bets)
-5.9131/440
418 races
All
(wet tracks)
Default optionsWin on TAB7.427/276
95 races
Distance races
(More than 1900m)
0.5kg loading on 'speed' horses
Weight adjusted speed ratings
Win on TAB1.920/221
73 races
2yo sprintSpeed horse with top wt rating
1 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Form >6mths out
Win on TAB43.53/8
43 races
(35 with no selections)
3yo sprintSpeed rating only
Form > 6mths out
Win on TAB144.96/39
52 races
(13 with no selections)
C6 sprint1 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
'Flexible' jockey disadvantage
Win on TAB63.58/43
20 races
Fillies & mares
(sprint)
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Form > 3mths out
Distance form out
'Flexible' jockey disadvantage
Win on TAB74.510/65
27 races
3yo+ & 4yo+
(sprint)
3 loading on 'speed' horses
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Broad BP adjustments
Distance form out
Win on TAB8.420/212
78 races
Open sprintSpeed only analysis
Fastest horse option
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Form > 6mths out
'Flexible' jockey disadvantage
Barrier disadvantage out
Win on TAB17.52/10
35 races
(25 with no selections)
RBH races1 loading on 'speed' horses
Distance form out
'Flexible' jockey disadvantage
Broad BP adjustments
Win on TAB16.626/209
79 races

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.
  2. Class weights have been re-optimised.
  3. All options include default reduced class weights for races restricted to fillies/mares (other than for quality and open listed F&M races which have their own class weights): 0kg reduction for 2yo races; 2kg reduction for 3yo races; and 3kg reduction for non-2yo/3yo races, including RBH races. These discounts are the same as 2009 horse races and 2008 country horse races, as well as 2005 horse races except for RBH classes.
  4. The schedule forming the basis of odds computation has been re-optimised and is the same as for 2009 horse races.
  5. Age improvement ranges (2yo, 3yo and 4yo horses) are the same as for 2009 horse races.
  6. The 1.9% return on turnover for distance races and the 145% return for 3yo sprint races illustrate the large variation in returns that can occur from year to year when relatively small numbers of races are involved.

2008 country horse races

This data base contains 158 races in the Canberra region of south eastern Australia (Canberra, Queanbeyan, Goulburn and Wagga) during 2008, 141 on dry tracks and 17 on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'). It is included with My HorseRaces but with all races deleted ready for Australian non-metropolitan races to be added.

The pre-race data were uploaded electronically by My HorseRaces from race files (New Form files and accepting form on any racecourse) arbitrarily selected and downloaded by the developer from the website of Racing Australia (RA). Race results, SP odds, TAB payouts and race-day changes to jockeys, weight carried, etc were typed in by the developer.

Of the 158 races:

6 are distance races (> 1900m), 1 of which was on a wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'); and
152 are sprint races (< 2000m), 16 of which are on wet tracks.

Of the 152 sprint races:

5 are 2yo races (all on dry tracks);
3 are 3yo races (1 on a wet track);
54 are races for horses 3yo and above with no metropolitan wins, including maiden races (7 on wet tracks);
15 are for horses 3yo and above with no other restrictions (1 on a wet track);
75 are ratings based handicapping (RBH) class races (7 on wet tracks) - comprising 9 RB57 races, 28 RB62, 17 RB67, 11 RB72, 2 RB76 and 8 RB77.

Returns from selected 2008 country races ('My EastAust country' data base)
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
AllWeight rating adjustments out
Distance form out if sprint
Jockey disadvantage out
Barrier positions out
Default course records (some missing)
Class wts down 15% if prize money $7000 or less
Win on TAB33.139/428
158 races
AllAs above for win bettingPlace on SP odds24.6128/428
158 races
AllMarket favouriteWin on TAB
(mkt-based bets)
-12.749/166
158 races
3yo+
(sprint)
Distance form out
Jockey disadvantage out
Broad BP disad (no defaults)
Default course records (some missing)
Win on TAB14.219/217
69 races
RBH races4.0 loading on 'speed' horses
Limit weights ignored
'Flexible' jockey disadvantage
Specific BP adjustments with defaults (some missing)
Default course records (some missing)
Class wts down 38% if prize money $7000 or less
Win on TAB65.618/163
75 races

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.
  2. All options include default reduced class weights for races restricted to fillies/mares other than quality (group) and open listed F&M races which have their own class weights: 0kg reduction for 2yo races; 2kg reduction for 3yo races; and 3kg reduction for non-2yo/3yo races, except RBH races which attract a 2kg reduction.
  3. The higher end of the optimised class weight range for 2YO R0 class (range 35-50kg) is higher than that for the 2YO NR class (range 35-44kg) perhaps reflecting a broad range of 2yo horses entering country maiden races.
  4. Age improvement ranges (2yo, 3yo and 4yo horses) are the same as for 2008 city horse races.
  5. The schedule forming the basis of odds computation is the same as for 2004 horse races.
  6. Class weights have been re-optimised. Class weights of races restricted to fillies/mares - other than quality (group) and open listed F&M races - are determined via specified reductions in the class weights of the associated general class as with 2005 horse races except for the inclusion of RBH classes.

2005 horse races

This data base contains 734 Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane races from 2005, 617 on dry tracks and 117 on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy').

The pre-race data were uploaded electronically by My HorseRaces from race files arbitrarily selected and downloaded by the developer from the website of Racing Australia (RA). Race results, SP odds, TAB payouts and race-day changes to jockeys, weight carried, etc were typed in by the developer.

Of the 734 races:

105 are distance races (> 1900m), 19 of which are on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'); and
629 are sprint races (< 2000m), 98 of which are on wet tracks.

Of the 629 sprint races:

68 are 2yo races (14 on wet tracks);
149 are 3yo races (29 on wet tracks);
56 are fillies/mares open group and listed races (12 on wet tracks);
154 are C3 to C6 races (13 on wet tracks) - broadly, for horses with corresponding number of wins;
55 are for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above and restricted to those with 0, 1 or 2 metropolitan wins (5 on wet tracks);
75 are races for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above and with no other restrictions (13 on wet tracks);
23 are welters (5 on wet tracks) - open to all horses in transition to open sprint and open quality races; and
49 are open sprint and open quality races (7 on wet tracks).

Returns from selected 2005 horse races
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
AllJockey disadvantage out
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB6.3168/2161
734 races
AllMarket favouriteWin on TAB
(mkt-based bets)
-11.4228/774
734 races
All
(wet tracks)
Jockey disadvantage outWin on TAB12.529/313
117 races
Distance racesLimit weights ignored
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB42.124/305
105 races
2yo sprintSpeed only analysis
Single 'standard' option
Jockey disadvantage out
Win on TAB22.68/34
68 races
(34 with no selections)
3yo sprintJockey disadvantage out
Declining ratings out
Distance form out
3yo age improve 47-49kg
Win on TAB25.136/416
149 races
C3 to C6
(sprint)
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB1.318/347
154 races
Fillies & mares
group & listed
(sprint)
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Form > 6mths out
Declining ratings out
Distance form out
Win on TAB56.719/128
56 races
3yo+ & 4yo+
(sprint)
3.5 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Form > 6mths out
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB51.340/318
130 races
Open and welter
(sprint)
1.5 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Declining ratings out
Win on TAB28.021/221
49 races

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.
  2. Class weights were re-optimised.
  3. All options include default reduced class weights for races restricted to fillies/mares other than for quality (group) and open listed F&M races which have their own class weights: 0kg reduction for 2yo races; 2kg reduction for 3yo races and 3kg reduction for non-2yo/3yo races (other than quality and open listed F&M races).
  4. Age improvement ranges (2yo, 3yo and 4yo horses) are the same as for 2008 city horse races and 2008 country horse races.
  5. The schedule forming the basis of odds computation is the same as for 2004 horse races.

2004 horse races

This data base contains 315 Sydney and Melbourne races from 2004, 272 on dry tracks and 34 on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'). It is included with My HorseRaces to demonstrate the benefit of building up a data base of races (and their results) over time.

The race data were typed into My HorseRaces manually before some analytical features were available; such as, winning consistency measure and class weight changes for prize money. The data base, therefore, does not include wins/starts statistics for horses or race prize money.

Of the 315 races:

60 are distance races (> 1900m), 8 of which are on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'); and
255 are sprint races (< 2000m), 26 of which are on wet tracks.

Of the 255 sprint races:

42 are 2yo races (3 on wet tracks);
62 are 3yo races (6 on wet tracks);
51 are fillies & mares races (6 on wet tracks);
56 are races for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above and restricted to those with 0, 1 or 2 metropolitan wins (4 on wet tracks);
18 are races for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above and with no other restrictions (1 on a wet track);
1 only is a welter event (on a wet track) - open to all horses in transition to open sprint and open quality races; and
25 are open sprint and open quality races (5 on wet tracks).

Returns from selected 2004 races ('2004 horse races' data base)
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
AllDefault optionsWin on TAB8.395/860
315 races
AllMarket favouriteWin on TAB
(mkt-based bets)
-23.590/343
315 races
All
(dry tracks)
Default optionsWin on TAB11.485/780
281 races
All
(wet tracks)
Default optionsPlace on SP odds28.128/80
34 races
Distance racesForm >3 mths outPlace on TAB37.547/165
60 races
2yo sprintSpeed only analysis
Standard option
Jockey disadvantage out
Win on TAB28.79/34
42 races
(8 with no selections)
3yo sprint2 loading on 'speed' horses
Form >3 mths out
Jockey disadvantage out
Win on TAB14.724/154
62 races
Fillies & mares
(sprint)
2 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Distance form out
Win on TAB44.018/139
51 races
3yo+ & 4yo+ (sprint)
0,1 or 2 metro wins
2 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Distance form out
Win on TAB21.411/130
56 races
3yo+ & 4yo+ (sprint)
no other restrictions
2 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Win on TAB36.35/40
18 races
Open sprint
and open quality
(sprint - dry)
Speed only analysis
Fastest horse option
Win on TAB
(mkt-based bets)
45.92/5
25 races
(20 with no selections)

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.

2000 horse races

This data base contains 168 Sydney and Melbourne Saturday races from 2000, 136 on dry tracks and 32 on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy').

The selection of races is biased towards quality distance races and sprint races for 2yos, fillies & mares and horses with restricted numbers of metropolitan wins.

The race data were typed into My HorseRaces manually.

Of the 168 races:

35 are distance races (> 1900m), 10 of which are on wet tracks ('slow' or 'heavy'); and
133 are sprint races (< 2000m), 23 of which are on wet tracks.

Of the 133 sprint races:

47 are 2yo races - mostly quality ('group') races or 2yo races with no other restrictions;
33 are fillies & mares races - mostly quality races or races with no other restrictions;
44 are races for horses 3yo and above or 4yo and above - mostly races restricted to horses with 0, 1 or 2 metropolitan wins;
6 are welter - open to all horses in transition to open sprint and open quality races;
3 are open sprint and open quality races.

Returns from selected Australian metropolitan races in 2000
Races chosenAnalysis optionsBettingReturn on turnover(%)No pays/no bets and no races
AllDefault optionsWin on TAB15.052/449
168 races
AllMarket favouriteWin on TAB
(mkt-based bets)
-4.456/179
168 races
All
(dry tracks)
Default optionsWin on TAB24.743/359
135 races
All
(wet tracks)
Form >3mths outPlace on SP odds13.926/89
33 races
Distance races
(dry tracks)
Limit weights ignoredWin on TAB27.58/81
25 races
2yo sprintSpeed only analysis
Standard option
Speed comparison = 4
Speed ratings weight adjusted
Win on TAB33.310/49
47 races
Fillies & mares
(sprint)
4 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Form > 3 mnths out
Win on TAB5.512/56
33 races
3yo+ & 4yo+ (sprint)
0,1 or 2 metro wins
2 loading on 'speed' horses
Jockey disadvantage out
Win on TAB54.217/119
44 races

Notes to table:

  1. Variations from default options, which include weight rating only analysis, are shown in 'Analysis options' column.
  2. Race classes are the same and associated class weights (and levels) are virtually the same as for 2004 horse races.
  3. Age improvement ranges (2yo, 3yo and 4yo horses) are the same as for 2004 horse races.
  4. The schedule forming the basis of odds computation is the same as for 2004 horse races.